XI’AN UNIVERSITY OF ARCHITECTURE & TECHNOLOGY/CHINA

Development prospects of China’s cement industry CO₂ in 2050

Credits: all by xauat

1 China’s population development the past 10+ years

Credits: all by xauat

2 Forecast of China’s future population

3 Forecasted model of Chinese cement industry demand in 2050

4 Comparison of China’s annual per capita consumption of cement with those of developed countries

5 Comparison of China’s annual per capita consumption of cement with those of newly industrialized economies.

6 Development trend of cement consumption per capita of the coastal developed areas in China

7 Chinese cement outputs and CO₂ emissions estimation in the future

Credit: WLTP

Emerging infrastructures and housing need clean energy and modern construction materials

Credit: WLTP

Influenced by the current Chinese annual growth rate, which is more than one percent and an urbanization rate of more than 70 %, the demand for cement is at a peak. The CO₂ emissions of the cement industry will also identically accompany such a major trend. The author states, how CO₂ emissions as well as urbanization will go parallel with the zero growth level of China’s population after 2030.

1 Introduction

China is at the peak of industrialization and urbanization. The urbanization rate was 53.7 % in 2013. Currently, the annual growth rate is more than one percent and the urbanization rate will reach more than 70 % of the stable phase after 2030.

Influenced by industrialization and urbanization, demand for cement and building materials is at a peak. It is estimated that the consumption peak in the cement industry will appear between 2015 and 2020, and then will begin to gradually decline. After 2030, cement and building materials will also be close to saturation. With the completion...